Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.000623 0.000707 0.000796 0.000896 0.001007 0.001125 0.001260
2026-01-11 0.000488 0.000604 0.000734 0.000891 0.001075 0.001281 0.001529
2026-01-18 0.000412 0.000540 0.000692 0.000882 0.001113 0.001381 0.001715
2026-01-25 0.000362 0.000500 0.000670 0.000890 0.001166 0.001497 0.001919
2026-02-01 0.000320 0.000464 0.000646 0.000891 0.001206 0.001593 0.002098
2026-02-08 0.000275 0.000417 0.000605 0.000865 0.001207 0.001638 0.002212
2026-02-15 0.000239 0.000380 0.000571 0.000843 0.001212 0.001685 0.002327
2026-02-22 0.000214 0.000355 0.000551 0.000838 0.001236 0.001755 0.002473
2026-03-01 0.000193 0.000333 0.000535 0.000837 0.001262 0.001829 0.002623
2026-03-08 0.000173 0.000310 0.000514 0.000825 0.001274 0.001882 0.002746
2026-03-15 0.000154 0.000288 0.000492 0.000811 0.001281 0.001926 0.002858
2026-03-22 0.000146 0.000282 0.000494 0.000832 0.001337 0.002040 0.003066
2026-03-29 0.000136 0.000272 0.000490 0.000844 0.001381 0.002139 0.003258
2026-04-05 0.000123 0.000256 0.000474 0.000837 0.001397 0.002199 0.003397
2026-04-12 0.000111 0.000240 0.000459 0.000829 0.001410 0.002254 0.003529
2026-04-19 0.000103 0.000231 0.000453 0.000836 0.001447 0.002344 0.003713
2026-04-26 0.000095 0.000221 0.000444 0.000837 0.001473 0.002418 0.003875
2026-05-03 0.000083 0.000203 0.000420 0.000812 0.001457 0.002428 0.003944
2026-05-10 0.000074 0.000187 0.000400 0.000792 0.001447 0.002448 0.004026
2026-05-17 0.000067 0.000178 0.000390 0.000787 0.001462 0.002504 0.004163
2026-05-24 0.000062 0.000169 0.000381 0.000785 0.001481 0.002567 0.004312
2026-05-31 0.000056 0.000159 0.000368 0.000775 0.001485 0.002606 0.004424
2026-06-07 0.000050 0.000149 0.000354 0.000761 0.001483 0.002637 0.004524